Post Time: Saturday, June 6, 6:50 p.m., NBC

Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) in the Belmont

Beyer's take: American Pharoah may win, but I'm betting against it

Horse Analysis Odds

1. Mubtaahij

Trainer: Mike de Kock
Jockey: Irad Ortiz
World-renowned trainer de Kock deserves respect whenever he starts a horse. But the winner of the rich United Emirates Derby had no excuse when he finished eighth in the Kentucky Derby.


BSF: 91

2. Tale of Verve

Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Jockey: Gary Stevens
When a sudden storm inundated Pimlico before the Preakness, most of the runners couldn't handle the track. This one did — and finished a distant second to American Pharoah. He would benefit from another cloudburst in New York.


BSF: 91

3. Madefromlucky

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Faced American Pharoah in Arkansas twice and was soundly beaten both times. He’s won his other three starts this season, most recently the Peter Pan Handicap over the Belmont track. He appears to be the weaker of Pletcher’s two entrants.


BSF: 94

4. Frammento

Trainer: Nick Zito
Jockey: Mike Smith
Zito saddled 36-1 Birdstone to spoil Smarty Jones's Triple Crown bid, but this late-running colt doesn't have enough talent. He has won only a maiden race.


BSF: 87

5. American Pharoah

Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Victor Espinoza
He's admirably fast and consistent, but he's had good luck in his wins, and now he has 37 years of precedents working against him as he tries to sweep the Triple Crown.


BSF: 105

6. Frosted

Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
Jockey: Joel Rosario
As the leaders ran 1-2-3 around the track in the Kentucky Derby, this colt managed to rally and finish fourth. The Wood Memorial winner is the top stretch-running threat in the field.


BSF: 103

7. Keen Ice

Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Kent Desormeaux
Had some traffic trouble then accelerated late to finish seventh in the Derby. Trainer's horses often run better than expected in the Triple Crown series.


BSF: 92

8. Materiality

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
Won the Florida Derby with a brilliant performance, then had a difficult trip in Kentucky. He's been freshened for five weeks since losing at Churchill Downs — a Pletcher move that has won the Belmont before.


BSF: 110

Note: BSF represents best speed figure earned as a 3-year-old at a mile or more.